ROANOKE, VA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – The final Roanoke College poll for Virginia before Election Day Tuesday shows Democrat Kamala Harris opening up a significant lead over Republican Donald Trump among likely voters. The poll shows Harris at 51% and Trump 41% while independent Cornel West and Libertarian Chase Oliver are at 2%, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 1%. Only 2% of likely voters are undecided. The last poll done in August showed Harris with a 3-point lead. This new poll has Harris with a lead well above the 4.6% margin of error.

Among those “likely voters”, 47% are almost certain they’ll vote, 40% have already voted, 9% are very likely, and 5% are somewhat likely to vote.

“Kamala Harris has increased the slim lead she held in the August Roanoke College Poll,” said Dr. Harry Wilson, senior political analyst for IPOR and Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Roanoke College. “She is claiming 95% of Democrats and leads 49%-36% among independents. Trump is supported by 90% of Republicans, but that might not be enough for him to win in Virginia.”
“With so few undecided voters, it’s a tough uphill climb for Trump. Democrats continue to take advantage of early voting. Republicans are catching up, but they need massive turnout on Election Day.”
Click here for the full release and link to the poll.